1559RATING · 155 LB

Chris Duncan

No. 30 at lightweight. 6–2 in the UFC since 2023.

Career and every weight

Pick a weight to see the rating there, the numbers, and how they compare with that division.

Career

Every UFC fight, at every weight (155 lb). Red is a dominant win (85 or more), blush any other win, grey a loss or draw. Ratings are kept weight by weight, in the other tabs; they do not compare across divisions. Opposition here is each opponent’s standing at their weight going in, as a percentile of everyone rated there that year.

155 lb202420252026
6–2UFC record
3 of 6Dominant wins
84Average win score
45thOpposition, percentile
How the wins came0 KO/TKO 3 submission 3 decision
Finish rate50% of wins
Stopped in losses2 of 2
Knockdowns landed2
Average fight time8:43
Sig. strikes landed / absorbed per min4.6 / 4.2
Sig. strike accuracy46%
Takedowns per 15 min2.8
Control time22% of the fight
Best winMateusz Rebecki rated 1508 at 155 lb going in

Against the division

How Chris Duncan’s UFC career compares with the careers of the 71 fighters on today’s lightweight board with 5 or more rated UFC fights, every weight counted. 100 is the best. Every lightweight leaderboard.

Dominant-win rateShare of wins scoring 85+
Needs 8 wins
Average win scoreOut of 100
21
83.9
Toughest oppositionOpponents' average standing at their weight going in, as a percentile
36
45th
Finish rateWins by KO or submission
34
50%
Strike differentialLanded minus absorbed, per minute
58
+0.37
Strikes landedSignificant strikes per minute
57
4.60
Hardest to hitFewest significant strikes absorbed per minute
48
4.23
TakedownsLanded per 15 minutes
81
2.80
ControlShare of fight time in control
67
22%
LowestMiddleBest

How the fights went

Every rated UFC fight, every weight. Tap a mark for the fight.

On the clock

3 of 6 wins inside the distance, 2 in round one. Stopped in 2 of 2 losses

When each fight ended. Wins above the line, losses below; decisions sit at the final bell.

KO or TKOSubmissionDecision
Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5WinsLosses
Who they beat, and how

Best win: Mateusz Rebecki, rated 1508 at 155 lb. Dominant in 3 of 6 scored wins

Each fight's dominance score against how highly the opponent was rated at that weight going in, as a percentile of everyone rated there that year, so every weight shares one scale. Up and to the right is a dominant win over a strong opponent.

Dominant winWinLoss or draw
0255075100Weakest25th50th75thToughestOpponent’s standing at the weight going in, percentileDOMINANT 85+

155 lb

No. 30 of 91 active men ranked at lightweight, outside the top 15 board, with a published rating of 1559 across 8 fights at the weight.

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Rating after every fight at 155 lb. The solid line is the published rating, the dashed line the best estimate; the shaded gap between them is still to prove. Tap a point for the fight.
6–2Record at 155 lb
3 of 6Dominant wins
84Average win score
1395Avg opponent rating
How the wins came0 KO/TKO 3 submission 3 decision
Finish rate50% of wins
Stopped in losses2 of 2
Knockdowns landed2
Average fight time8:43
Sig. strikes landed / absorbed per min4.6 / 4.2
Sig. strike accuracy46%
Takedowns per 15 min2.8
Control time22% of the fight
Best winMateusz Rebecki rated 1508 going in

Against the division

How Chris Duncan’s fights at 155 lb compare with the fights at the weight of the 65 fighters on today’s lightweight board with 5 or more fights there. 100 is the best.

Dominant-win rateShare of wins scoring 85+
Needs 8 wins
Average win scoreOut of 100
20
83.9
Toughest oppositionOpponents' average standing at their weight going in, as a percentile
34
45th
Finish rateWins by KO or submission
34
50%
Strike differentialLanded minus absorbed, per minute
59
+0.37
Strikes landedSignificant strikes per minute
59
4.60
Hardest to hitFewest significant strikes absorbed per minute
44
4.23
TakedownsLanded per 15 minutes
79
2.80
ControlShare of fight time in control
65
22%
LowestMiddleBest

How the fights went

Every rated UFC fight at 155 lb. Tap a mark for the fight.

On the clock

3 of 6 wins inside the distance, 2 in round one. Stopped in 2 of 2 losses

When each fight ended. Wins above the line, losses below; decisions sit at the final bell.

KO or TKOSubmissionDecision
Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5WinsLosses
Who they beat, and how

Best win: Mateusz Rebecki, rated 1508 at 155 lb. Dominant in 3 of 6 scored wins

Each fight's dominance score against how highly the opponent was rated at that weight going in, as a percentile of everyone rated there that year, so every weight shares one scale. Up and to the right is a dominant win over a strong opponent.

Dominant winWinLoss or draw
0255075100Weakest25th50th75thToughestOpponent’s standing at the weight going in, percentileDOMINANT 85+

Every UFC fight

8 fights on record, newest first, at every weight. Score is the fight's dominance score out of 100, this fighter first; 85 or more is a dominant win.

DateResultScoreOpponentMethodRoundWeightEvent
4 Apr 2026Loss12–88Renato MoicanosubmissionR2 3:14LightweightUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
6 Dec 2025Win91–9Terrance McKinneysubmissionR1 2:30LightweightUFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
2 Aug 2025Win76–24Mateusz Rebeckiunanimous decisionR3 5:00LightweightUFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
22 Mar 2025Win92–8Jordan VucenicsubmissionR2 3:42LightweightUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
28 Sep 2024Win86–14Bolaji OkisubmissionR1 3:34LightweightUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
24 Feb 2024Loss13–87Manuel TorressubmissionR1 1:46LightweightUFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
22 Jul 2023Win83–17Yanal Ashmouzunanimous decisionR3 5:00LightweightUFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
18 Mar 2023Win75–25Omar Moralessplit decisionR3 5:00LightweightUFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3